Actual finance blog

As the impact of the economic crisis takes hold, employees from Wall Street to Main Street are feeling nervous about their jobs, and with good reason.

As of September, 760,000 jobs have already been lost this year, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

And a quarter of U.S. employers expect to make layoffs in the next 12 months, according to a recent report by consulting firm Watson Wyatt.

But which industries will suffer the most? Experts say certain sectors are more vulnerable to layoffs than others.

Housing: Jobs in the housing sector were the first to go when the mortgage meltdown took hold. But with the industry outlook at an all-time low, even more layoffs could follow.

Beyond mortgage lenders and homebuilders, jobs in commercial real-estate and at real-estate agencies will be the next to go, according to Dean Baker, director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, D.C.

With the worst September for new home sales since 1981, "some of the big [real-estate] chains will do some consolidation," Baker said, "clearly you need fewer offices," Baker said.

Finance: Few in the financial sector are feeling secure about their positions. The latest employment figures from the Department of Labor show financial firms have eliminated an estimated 110,000 jobs over the past year through September, and experts say there will be even more losses in the months ahead.

As financial firms reorganize and consolidate, there are going to be a lot more layoffs, Baker said.

"Financial services firms have cut tremendously and I don’t think that’s over," echoed Lee Pinkowitz, associate professor at Georgetown University McDonough School of Business.

Retail: Before the credit crunch, retailers were already struggling with soft sales as high gas prices and falling home equity forced consumers to curtail non-essential purchases. Now retail sales are dismal heading into the holiday season. "This could be the weakest holiday hiring season since 2001," said John Challenger, chief executive of global outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, and that’s not good for those employed in the retail industry.

"I doubt we’ll see the pick up in seasonal hiring that we’d normally see," Pinkowitz said.

But while department stores and high-end boutiques may be particularly hard hit, discount retailers, like Wal-Mart (WMT, Fortune 500) could fare well in the current climate, Challenger said. Wal-Mart is also the nation’s largest private-sector employer, and could be a safe haven for those who work there.

Publishing: As consumers cut back, advertisers follow, and that means tough times for print publications, including newspapers and magazines, experts say creditreport.

According to Bureau of Labor Statistics data, employment in the publishing industry has been contracting since the beginning of last year.

But the "grand decline" of jobs in the media industry, which also includes broadcast and digital media, began with the dot-com bust in 2001, noted Heidi Shierholz an economist at the Economic Policy Institute, a research group based in Washington. Now a loss of jobs in traditional publishing is being exacerbated, in part, by the move away from print toward digital media.

"Every time you have a recession it pushes companies that have been holding on by their fingernails out of business," Challenger said. "It clears away an old generation of companies and I think we’ll see that with print."

Autos: While sales at the Big Three automakers have fallen 20% this year and are likely to tumble further, trouble in the auto sector is not confined to manufacturing. All told, about 2 million Americans work in the industry.

While declining sales will likely lead to more job losses, those in "the tentacles of the auto industry" could be particularly hard hit in the coming months, Pinkowitz said, which includes those jobs at dealerships and suppliers.

Travel: Airlines have already announced layoffs across the board, but as consumers and businesses continue to scale back discretionary spending on travel, the implications go far beyond flying.

"All the industries under the umbrella of travel are going to be at risk" Challenger said, including rental cars, hotels and even restaurants.

If people are cutting back, travel and leisure activities are the easiest things to do without, explained Baker. Big restaurant chains will close locations, he said, which means eliminating many wait staff and service jobs, while some smaller restaurants will be forced out of business entirely.

But despite the mostly doom-and-gloom predictions, some say there are some bright spots ahead for American workers.

"Even if you’re in an industry where there has been some job downturns, there still can be some opportunities," said Kimberly Bishop, vice chairman of Chicago-based executive search firm Slayton Search Partners.

Bishop suggests focusing on those skills and experiences that can translate beyond the industry in which you work. There are certain roles that every organization needs, she said, and you may be able to fulfill that role in another industry that has more promise. 

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For most banks, lending is all about the numbers.

If a customer has the right credit score, good financial records and a believable plan, the bank is interested in doing business. If they don’t, well, no dice, particularly in this economy.

Some banks are going beyond the numbers to develop long-term relationships, digging deeper to make sure business customers are doing all they can to survive the turbulent economy. It’s a long tradition among community banks, which focus on serving businesses, consumers and farmers in their local market areas.

The extra attention ranges from financial checkups or priority-setting sessions at Commerce Bancshares Inc. and National City to Enterprise Bank & Trust Co.’s college-style courses.

Sandy Washington, senior vice president of small-business banking at Commerce, said the bank has been doing its checkups for years, but customers are more receptive to them in the current environment.

"The more we understand what their goals and their objectives are, the more we can help them," Washington said.

Rick Sems, Missouri banking president for National City, said building relationships with business customers is nothing new for the bank. Twice a year, customers have a business priority agenda session with an account manager, a local branch manager and a cash management officer.

Jim Watson, president of Midwest BankCentre, said the bank also does checkups and sponsors regular gatherings with speakers who can help customers understand the economy.

"Communications is a mutual responsibility," Watson said. "Even our customers today are very concerned about how their bank is doing."

Kevin Eichner, who retired as chief executive of Enterprise Bank in May to become president of Ottawa University, said the bank started Enterprise University to give its business customers a chance to continue their education in a way that fit their schedules and their budgets.

"It’s part of a consultative approach" at Enterprise, said Jerry Mueller, the bank’s senior vice president of marketing. "The idea is, we want to partner with our clients and help them be more successful."

On a recent Wednesday morning, 20 executives sat at tables scattered around a classroom in an industrial building in Olivette.

Lori Lewis, Enterprise’s director of organizational development, was leading a class on "Managing Your Energy," based in part on "The Power of Full Engagement," a book by Jim Loehr and Tony Schwartz.

For nearly three hours, Lewis led the executives through exercises designed to help them manage their business and personal lives more effectively. Lewis, who has a doctorate in organizational psychology, sprinkled her lecture with a clip from National Public Radio, a Power Point presentation, handouts and a Sudoku puzzle.

Classes at Enterprise University range from marketing, sales and financial management to leadership effectiveness and personal financial planning. Some are taught by bank executives like Lewis or Stephen Marsh, the bank’s president. Other teachers include lawyers, business consultants or experts in things such as energy conservation.

The classes are open to anyone with an interest in the topics covered. There is no charge, and it’s up to attendees whether they’d like to be contacted by the bank after the class.

Kay Erb, registrar for the classes and a member of the bank’s marketing department, says between 300 and 500 people attend Enterprise University classes every semester. About 80 percent are presidents or top managers of their companies.

Jeffrey Jappa, president of JMC Manufacturing in Bridgeton, said the classes gave him a good introduction to the bank. He had been considering changing banks after he bought the wood products company from his father absolutely free credit report.

"Other banks sponsor seminars," Jappa said, "but not one that’s really put together like a university with a course load that’s really targeted to the small-business owner. Even though I was already interested in the bank, there was no selling whatsoever."

Jappa has since become an Enterprise customer, and likes their approach.

"Other banks just let you run, and you only hear from them when things are going wrong," he said. "My account manager is very interested in my business. He’s worked hard to create compliance targets that are reasonable and can be attained."

Mueller said Enterprise University has been a great way to set the bank apart.

"It enhances the relationship," Mueller said. "We can help (customers) improve their skills and show them ways to make their businesses more efficient."

Commerce Bank’s financial checkups include an hour-long meeting to review financial statements. Customers are encouraged to bring their tax advisers along. The bank may ask about the customer’s goals, the ways they’re collecting receivables or managing cash. Personal finance can be on the agenda as well.

"We always have an open door," Washington said. "We encourage our customers to meet with us regularly. As economic conditions change, so does the bank’s appetite to supply credit to particular businesses."

Washington said the bank recently worked with a family-owned bakery facing a downturn in its business because of a decline in the market for sweet goods.

"We sat down with the family and provided some reality checks," Washington said. The bank was able to help the business improve its collections and worked with an accountant to help the bakery manage its finances.

At National City, the agenda-setting sessions range from reviews of financial statements to discussions about cash management. Small-business customers’ personal wealth often is tied up in the company. Owners need to make sure their families are protected while they run the business, Sems said.

The bank has had to get more creative on loans lately, tapping Community Development Corp. programs and working with business development groups to arrange financing or equity injections, he said. Recently, customers have been more concerned about how their accounts are titled to ensure that they have the maximum insurance from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.

"I really try to push that what we’re trying to do is advise, not prod and poke so much," Sems said.

Wayne Kissel, owner of K1 Creative, a design firm in Eureka, said sessions with his National City banker have shown him how to protect assets, change investment strategy and handle employee benefits. Kissel said he went with National City after looking at proposals from six different banks.

"My personal lender has been down to earth and easy to work with," Kissel said. The bank was instrumental in helping the business build its own building after years in less desirable rented space.

Bankers have to be careful about how much advice they give because of potential liability if a customer feels he or she was pushed to make a decision that turns out badly, said Rick Palank, senior vice president for finance at the St. Louis County Economic Council.

Palank said it’s rare for banks to go beyond the numbers, especially now.

"They’re very, very conservative now," Palank said.

jerristroud@post-dispatch.com

314-340-8384

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The global financial crisis will add at least 20 million people to the world’s unemployed, bringing the total to 210 million by the end of next year, the U.N. labor agency said Monday.

That will be the first time in a decade of record keeping that the global total has been above 200 million people, said officials of the International Labor Organization.

Global leaders need to focus on the impact on individuals rather than just financial institutions when they devise rescue plans, ILO Director-General Juan Somavia told reporters.

"We thought it was not good to talk about the financial crisis exclusively in financial terms," Somavia said. "We have to talk about the financial crisis in terms of what happens to people and in terms of what happens to jobs and enterprises."

He said it is already clear that people are going to be hurt by the financial crisis and that measures should be taken to provide unemployment compensation and other social protection.

"If we have enough resources to pump into the financial system, this is not the moment to say, ‘Yes, but we don’t have the resources to care about people,"’ said Somavia.

He said the first step in a global rescue plan remains getting out of "the credit paralysis."

"Hopefully, the decisions that have been taken are going to work," he said, adding that all measures should be taken to contain as much as possible the fall of the real economy and reduce the recession possibilities as much as possible.

But then attention should turn to "taking care of those enterprises that produce the most jobs," Somavia said payday advance lenders. "Those tend to be the small enterprises."

"The financial system has to go back to its fundamental function," he said, meaning providing credit to people with entrepreneurial spirit to set up a company that will produce goods and services and create jobs.

Another issue is protecting pensions, especially for those whose funds are invested in the stock market, he said.

"You better give enough credit to the pension systems so they don’t have to sell [shares] in a battered market," said Somavia, noting that the U.S. Congress had passed a US$700 billion rescue plan for financial institutions.

"Make sure some of that money goes to the pension systems so that they can pay pensions," he added. "People are very afraid all over the world."

The ILO based its unemployment projection in part on the latest forecast by the International Monetary Fund that the economies of the United States and Europe would virtually stop growing and that Japan would have only 0.5% growth, Somavia said.

The agency also factored in data from the United Nations and from countries that have produced recent statistics, he said.

"The estimate that we are now making is that as compared with January 2008 to December 2009 we are probably going to have about 20 million jobs lost, and this may be underestimated," Somavia said.

He said the agency had yet to break the forecast down by region or country. 

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The $700 billion bailout plan signed into law Friday may get banks to start lending to each other again. But it remains to be seen how long that will take to jumpstart an ailing economy.

The goal is to unfreeze the credit markets. Financial institutions have become paralyzed with fear and though they have plenty of cash on hand, they’ve been hoarding it. Without this intra-bank lending, businesses are having trouble getting the financing they need even for daily operations, much less loans for longer-term projects.

"Hopefully, this will lend a calming effect to the markets," said Joe Belew, president of the Consumer Bankers Association. "We need to take a deep breath, relax and start doing business again."

Don’t expect lending to ramp up overnight, however. It may take weeks for confidence to return, experts said. Or even longer.

The centerpiece of the bill allows the government to eventually buy up to $700 billion in assets tied to shaky mortgages. Getting the bad paper off banks’ balance sheets hopefully will give institutions more confidence to start lending again. (Bailout 101: What the new law says)

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson has up to 45 days to devise a plan to purchase the assets.

But one big question is what the Treasury Department will pay for those assets. Too low a price - which is good for taxpayers - and banks may find they still need to take steps to shore up their balance sheets. Some may have to raise additional capital, which has been scarce in this tumultuous market. Investors may remain on the sidelines for a while until things shake out, experts said.

The plan’s passage did little to allay fears in the stock market, which sold off once the House approved the bill. Investors, who remain skittish that the bailout plan will achieve its goals, sent the Dow Jones industrial average down 1.5%.

"Thaws take time," said Diane Casey-Landry, chief operating office of the American Bankers Association, noting that the bailout plan won’t instantly eliminate all concerns. "We’ll be in the Ronald Reagan mode of ‘Trust but verify’."

Even President Bush told Americans to have patience. "Americans should also expect that it will take some time for this legislation to have its full impact on the economy," he said. "With a smoother flow of credit, more businesses will be able to stock their shelves and meet their payrolls (fast cash). More families will be able to get loans for cars and homes and college education. More state and local governments will be able to fund basic services."

Many economists, however, say the president and other supporters of the bailout were painting too rosy a picture.

Until the tidal wave of foreclosures ends and home values stop their stomach-churning drops, banks will remain reluctant to lend and the economy won’t improve, experts said.

"This bill doesn’t contain any element of stability for the housing market or the real economy," said Christian Menegatti, lead analyst for economic research firm RGE Monitor. "The problems are going to come back and the lack of confidence will come back."

In fact, nearly one in three financial services executives said they expect credit standards to continue to tighten even if the bailout plan is approved, according to a Deloitte poll taken Thursday. So it will still be tough to get a mortgage or small business loan.

"We’re back to more normal underwriting standards," Casey-Landry said. "People will need to have good credit to get a loan."

As long as the constant drumbeat of bad economic reports continues, consumers and businesses may not be so eager to borrow money anyway even if banks start extending more credit. Friday’s dismal jobs report, showing that 159,000 people lost their livelihoods, did little to inspire people to spend.

"You tell me I can have the credit, but I don’t want it," said Amiyatosh Purnanandam, assistant professor of finance at the University of Michigan. "If people are not going to buy cars whether they can get credit or not, it’s not going to help the economy."

This becomes a vicious cycle. If consumers don’t spend, the economy fails to improve. The jitters may return to the financial markets, prompting another government intervention.

That’s why many fear the $700 billion rescue may not be the last step.

"This is a tremendously expensive stopgap measure," said Adam Levitin, associate professor of law at Georgetown University. 

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Google Inc.’s announcement last year that it would give away software that could run cell phones was met by dizzy accolades from analysts who thought it would let the search engine company conquer the world of mobile advertising.

Fruit of that announcement is set to drop: T-Mobile USA will reveal Tuesday the first phone to use Android, Google’s software platform.

But a lot has happened in the world of cell phone software in the intervening year, and Google looks set for an uphill battle in trying to capture the desires of consumers and wireless carriers.

Research firm Strategy Analytics estimates T-Mobile could sell 400,000 phones this year, giving Google about 4 percent of the U.S. market for "smart" phones, a category dominated by Research in Motion Ltd.’s BlackBerry phones with competition from Apple Inc.’s iPhone, Palm Inc.’s Treos and Centros, and phones running Microsoft Corp.’s Windows Mobile software.

The new phone, called the G1 according to T-Mobile’s invitation, is widely expected to be a design from HTC Corp. of Taiwan. Based on previous Google demos of its software, it’s assumed that it will have a touch screen and a slide-out, full-alphabet keyboard.

The Wall Street Journal reported last week, citing unidentified sources, that the phone would sell for $199 and carry the Google brand absolutely free credit report. It’s likely that the phone will go on sale in a few weeks. Other details are scant, and it’s not clear exactly what the phone will be capable of, but Web browsing and e-mail are safe bets.

"This is the right moment for Google to answer some of the big questions that have been outstanding since Android was announced," said Morgan Gillis, executive director of the LiMo Foundation, which has created a rival cell phone software platform. "What will the consumer do on this handset that can’t be done on other handsets?"

The LiMo Foundation is behind one of the developments that has undermined the prospects for Android. In May, Verizon Wireless said LiMo, or Linux Mobile, would be the "preferred" software for its phones, starting next year, joining some European carriers.

Like Android, LiMo is based on Linux computer software and is given away free to phone makers. But the LiMo Foundation is designed as consortium of industry participants to assuage their fears that a single company would dominate phone software, like Microsoft does on PCs.

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Secure Energy Inc., a St. Louis-based company developing a $550 million plant in Decatur, Ill., to convert coal to natural gas, has entered a long-term sales agreement with a unit of oil giant BP PLC.

Under the agreement, Secure Energy can sell gas to industrial customers in Decatur. BP Canada Energy Marketing Co. will purchase any unsold fuel — up to 67 million cubic feet of gas a day.

The agreement represents a milestone in the development of the Decatur plant, which is expected to be complete by the summer of 2011, said Lars Scott, a former Peabody Energy Corp. executive who co-founded Secure Energy several years ago.

Technologies to convert coal into other energy forms, such as natural gas or diesel, aren’t new, but they were cost-prohibitive in the era of cheap oil. Today, they’re getting another look because of higher petroleum prices.

The price of natural gas, which ranged between $1 and $2 per thousand cubic feet the 1990s, has averaged almost $10 per thousand cubic feet so far this year electronic check payday advance. The price also has been especially volatile, spiking above $13 in June only to fall below $8 this month. Despite the decline, the project remains viable, Scott said.

The plant will use about 1.4 million tons of high-sulfur Illinois coal a year to produce 20 billion cubic feet of natural gas — enough to heat 250,000 homes.

Secure Energy is in talks to find a coal supplier, Scott said. A previous agreement to purchase coal from International Coal Group Inc.’s Viper Mine in eastern Illinois expired.

The plant, to be built on a site purchased last year from Caterpillar Inc., will employ about 60 people, he said. Construction is expected to take 20 to 24 months.

Secure Energy received an air permit from the state in April 2007 and it has other major permits required to begin construction.

jtomich@post-dispatch.com | 314-340-8320

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Declining property-tax revenues, high energy prices and other financial headwinds will create greater economic hardships in 2009 for most cities across the U.S., a new report says.

City budget officials say they expect more layoffs for municipal workers, cutbacks in parks and recreation programs and library hours, and higher fees for everything from garbage pickup to building permits.

"Cities for a long while now have been on the upside of the curve, generally experiencing pretty good growth in revenues," said Chris Hoene, director of policy and research for the National League of Cities, which collected data from 319 municipalities in its annual survey. "Now we’re coming over the top of the curve and heading down the wrong side of it."

The housing crisis has already damaged municipal coffers in 2008, especially in the West, with rising foreclosures and falling home prices resulting in decreased property-tax revenues.

Four out of five budget officials who responded to the survey of U.S. cities say next year is likely to be worse.

Small but fast-growing suburbs that used low tax rates to attract families are most vulnerable to budget constraints.

The three main sources of revenue for cities - income tax, property tax and sales tax - are all declining, the report warns. In the meantime, health care, public safety and fuel are getting more expensive.

Two of every three cities with more than 50,000 residents say it’s harder to meet basic city needs this year than last, the survey found. One in two budget officials responding to the survey say they have raised fees on city services during the past year.

The report follows a litany of gloomy financial news for the nation’s local and state governments in recent months.

The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities reported Sept. 8 that midyear shortfalls opened in the budgets of at least 13 states in the current budget year. At least 29 states and the District of Columbia faced or are facing combined budget shortfalls of $48 billion in the fiscal year that began July 1.

The Rockefeller Institute for Government said in July that adjusted state tax revenues remained in decline for the third quarter in a row and that sales tax collections were flat for the first time in six years.

Cities that rely mostly on property taxes are in for the toughest ride because the loss of revenue from a foreclosed house today won’t be felt in budgets for months.

Home prices for the 20-city Standard & Poor’s/Case-Schiller index peaked in July 2006, and some economists predict prices won’t recover until mid-2009 or later.

For cities already tightening their belts, the squeeze could get even stronger.

– In Columbus, the city is facing a $75 million budget hole and planning 100 job cuts, including about 40 layoffs. All spending over $1,000 is now under close review. Revenue from the city’s income tax grew by at least 4% a year for 40 years, including the recession of the 1990s cash advance. Since 2000, that revenue has topped 4% only once.

– In Palm Bay in central Florida, one of the country’s fastest-growing cities in recent years, officials have eliminated 32 jobs out of about 850, cut public-pleasing events like the annual Easter Egg hunt and are raising fees on the cost of renting ball fields and other park facilities.

– In Indianapolis, city officials ordered a 5% budget reduction this year and plan to continue it next year. A proposal to hire 100 additional police officers is on hold. Next year’s budget includes a proposed reduction of the city’s $1.5 million arts budget by a third and millions cut from the parks program.

"As we spend more and more on the public safety side, taking away from the investments in education and the developmental things, are we in fact creating bigger problems for ourselves down the line?" said Jackie Nytes, a city-county councilwoman.

Among the report’s other findings:

– Cities on average are facing a 2.8% budget deficit this year, forcing fee increases, reduced spending or use of rainy-day funds.

– The biggest spending pressures on cities are coming from increases in fuel costs; maintaining roads, bridges and water and sewer systems; keeping up police and fire services; and increases in employee costs, including wages and health care.

– Three of every four fiscal officers in Western states reported their budgets were worse this year. Conditions were most optimistic in the South, with one in every two budget officials responding to the survey saying conditions were worse in 2008.

In pothole-ridden Tacoma, Wash., officials planning a long-awaited street repair program were counting on $19 million during the current two-year budget cycle. But that figure is down to a projected $12 million as real estate tax revenue plunges, including a 50% drop from July 2007 to this past July.

One of the biggest problems for cities is that revenue from sales and property taxes are declining together for the first time in decades. As consumer confidence sags in the face of declining home values, people are less likely to make big-ticket purchases.

Fortunately, most cities have healthy rainy-day funds, filled as buffers in recent years as it became clear to local governments that state and federal funding was drying up.

Not every city is ready to raise fees or taxes.

In Riverside, Calif., in the state’s inland region, the budget was cut by $10 million from 2007 to this year as numerous departments saw reductions, including fewer hours and staff at libraries. Riverside, with a population of 294,000, saw 2,500 foreclosures last year and could have another 7,500 homes at risk.

"If you take the premise this is the worst economy in the inland area since World War II, it’s not good time to raise fees,"said Mayor Ron Loveridge. 

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Automakers are expected to post a 10th consecutive month of U.S. sales declines on Wednesday as incentives on slow-selling trucks and SUVs and General Motors Corp’s employee pricing promotion failed to ignite demand from struggling consumers in August.

Analysts see automakers posting double-digit declines in U.S. auto sales for August — adding to the longest monthly losing streak for the industry since the domestic recession of 2001.

U.S. auto sales may have been down anywhere from 14 to 19 percent industrywide in August from a year earlier, according to analysts, but should have been up slightly from the 16-year low reported in July.

August sales are expected to reflect the continued shift toward smaller, more economical passenger cars and away from large pickup trucks and SUVs, as well as some difficulty supplying fuel efficient vehicles customers want.

U.S.-based GM, Ford Motor Co and Chrysler LLC — which have a much higher percentage of sales linked to the larger vehicles than transplant carmakers — are expected to have felt the most impact from the continued shift.

Toyota Motor Corp, the No bad credit payday loan. 2 auto seller in the United States, is also expected to report sales declines. Analysts see Honda Motor Co Ltd’s sales ranging from a slight gain to a big decline and Nissan Motor Co Ltd posting sales growth of about 2 percent.

“Light vehicle sales in the U.S. appear to have continued at depressed levels through August, despite the very generous incentive programs that several major manufacturers have launched in recent weeks,” Lehman Brothers analyst Brian Johnson said in a note to clients.

Auto sales are a closely watched and early key indicator of consumer demand in the United States for big ticket items, with investors focused on whether the second-quarter economic growth will be sustained through the rest of 2008. 

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Gas prices zoomed higher in states along the Gulf of Mexico as workers on offshore oil rigs abandon ship ahead of Hurricane Gustav which became a category 4 storm on Saturday.

Meanwhile, the national average price of gasoline crawled up for a second day in a row. A gallon of regular unleaded gas rose by about a penny to $3.682 a gallon overnight, according to the motorist group AAA.

The price increase was most dramatic in Mississippi, where the statewide average for unleaded gasoline rose about 4 cents a gallon on Saturday. Gas rose by about 5 cents a gallon in the coastal cities of Biloxi, Gulfport and Pascagoula, said AAA.

Gas also rose by about 4 cents a gallon in Louisiana. Alabama saw a daily increase of about 3 cents. In Texas prices rose more than 2 cents, and in Florida prices rose by more than a penny, according to AAA. In New Orleans, gas prices rose by just over 4 cents a gallon. All of these areas are dependent upon oil rigs in the Gulf of Mexico as a major part of their oil supply.

In comparison, gas prices declined overnight in New York, New Jersey, California, states that are not directly dependent on the Gulf.

"Prices are more affected down South, while New York is supplied through [New York] Harbor," said Fred Rozell, oil analyst with the Oil Price Information Service.

Rozell said these increases are particularly painful to Mississippi, not just because the price increases are the most dramatic there, but because it’s a state where people tend to have less discretionary income.

"I think some of those areas are going to get hit hard again and it’s really going to squeeze people," said Rozell.

Get ready for high gas prices: The price increases are likely to continue, said Rozell, partly because of the storm, and partly because of recent increases in wholesale gasoline prices, which tend to lead retail prices http://payday-faxless.com. Rozell expects prices nationwide to increase by 10 cents a gallon over the next five to seven days, or by 15 to 25 cents in the Gulf Coast states.

Hurricane Gustav smashed into the Dominican Republic and Haiti on Thursday, killing more than 50 people and causing extensive flooding. The storm headed west and whipped into Jamaica at midday on Friday. The storm crashed through the Caymans and Cuba as it headed for the Gulf of Mexico. It built into a category 3 hurricane and now threatens to smash into New Orleans and the surrounding region early next week.

If the storm continues along its projected course, it could threaten the 4,000 drilling platforms and 33,000 miles of pipeline in the Gulf Coast, which sends 1.3 million barrels a day to the Gulf Coast’s 56 refineries.

"We are seeing [gas price] increases here that are based on the possibility that there may be some supply dislocation," said Peter Beutel, oil analyst with the firm Cameron Hanover. "That would affect supply close to the affected area, as opposed to anywhere else." 

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Several major U.S. refiners said early checks on Monday showed their facilities were unharmed by Hurricane Gustav, but at least two others were said to be considering dipping into the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve to keep operations going after the storm shut down key waterways.

Gustav weakened to Category 2 before roaring ashore near Port Fourchon, Louisiana, on Monday, potentially sparing the kind of damage that the region’s platforms, rigs and refineries suffered at the hands of more powerful Katrina three years ago.

Offshore operators said remote sensors indicated that major platforms remained where they were moored before the storm, although Shell, the region’s largest producer, said it may take three to five days to restore production.

Energy companies had to shut in all 1.3 million barrels of U.S. offshore oil production — a quarter of U.S. output — as well as 7.06 billion cubic feet per day in natural gas supply, or nearly all of the 15 percent of national production the Gulf provides, as Gustav ploughed through the region.

By late Monday night, Gustav had subsided to a tropical storm, with winds of 60 miles per hour (96.5 kph), as it moved inland across Louisiana.

U.S fast cash advance loan. crude stood at $111.07 a barrel by 12:15 a.m. EDT, about 33 cents below trading levels late on Monday, when prices slumped $4 on easing concerns about Gustav, which had been called the biggest threat to the sector since 2005’s devastation.

Thirteen refineries with a combined capacity of 2.67 million barrels per day (bpd) — 15 percent of the country’s total — were shut by late Monday, but early signs suggested many had been spared.

Valero Energy Corp said an initial check of its 250,000 barrels per day (bpd) refinery at St Charles, Louisiana, refinery showed no significant structural damage from Gustav, and that the plant had electrical power. 

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