Actual finance blog

February 29, 2012

Economy grew at a faster pace at end of 2011

Filed under: marketing, technology — Tags: , , , — Professor Besto @ 9:20 am

The economy grew at a slightly faster pace in the final three months of last year, and Americans earned more income than previously reported. That could set the stage for stronger growth this year.

The Commerce Department said Wednesday that the economy expanded at a 3 percent annual rate in the October-December quarter _ the fastest pace since the spring of 2010. It exceeded the previous estimate of 2.8 percent. And it was better than the third quarter’s 1.8 percent growth rate.

The growth estimate was revised up because consumers spent more than first thought, and businesses cut spending by much less. Imports rose by a smaller amount.

The report also showed that incomes rose in the second half of last year by more than previously estimated. Americans saved more, too.

Much of the growth in the fourth quarter was driven by companies restocking their shelves. Many had cut their inventories over the summer, when they thought the economy was on the verge of a recession.

That didn’t happen. In fact, the economy has steadily improved since then. Still, companies likely scaled back the pace of their restocking at the start of the year to match the pace of consumer spending. That should slow growth in the current quarter.

Economists predict growth at an annual pace of 2 percent in the January-March quarter, according to a survey by the National Association of Business Economics. Growth will reach 2.4 percent for the full year, up from 2011’s increase of 1.7 percent, the survey found.

A host of recent data has made many analysts more optimistic about this year’s prospects. Companies have stepped up hiring, pushing the unemployment rate down for five straight months to 8.3 percent.

U.S. factories boosted output last month and December was their strongest month of growth in five years. Consumer confidence rose to its highest point in a year this month, the Conference Board reported Tuesday. That could signal Americans are ready to step up spending, which would fuel more growth. Consumer spending accounts for 70 percent of economic activity.

Some trends likely to slow growth in the current quarter are still good for consumers. The warm winter weather will likely mean Americans won’t have to spend as much to heat their homes. But that technically will lower the economy’s growth rate.

The economy was held back in the fourth quarter by a big drop in government defense spending. Defense spending is unlikely to be much of a factor in the current quarter, economists say.

Growth could be slowed or even derailed this year by rising gas prices, which have jumped 30 cents in the past month. That forces consumers to spend more for the same amount of gas and leaves less money for other purchases. A sharp rise in gas prices early last year choked off growth after companies began the year with a burst of hiring.

But so far, the increase isn’t enough to cause a repeat of last year’s disappointment, economists say. With hiring accelerating and incomes higher, consumers are better able to afford higher prices at the pump.

And the prices of other goods also jumped last year, particularly food, as well as other energy sources such as natural gas. But natural gas costs have plummeted recently while food prices are rising at a much slower pace. Those trends should offset some of the squeeze on spending from pricier gas.

The government makes three estimates of the gross domestic product for each quarter. The GDP is the economy’s total output of goods and services and includes everything from autos to utility output to haircuts. Each revision is based on more complete economic data.

Source

February 8, 2012

Rio Catching Up to BHP in Bond Market on Resurgent China: Australia Credit - Bloomberg

Filed under: management, technology — Tags: , , , — Professor Besto @ 8:24 am

China

January 4, 2012

UK police warned: Beware thirsty, flirty reporters

Filed under: Business, technology — Tags: , , , — Professor Besto @ 10:44 am

British police and journalists agree that their cozy ties allowed illegal phone hacking to go on too long, an independent investigator said Wednesday.

Elizabeth Filkin, a former Parliamentary standards chief, said a culture of confidential briefings, poor guidance from senior staff too ready to accept reporters’ hospitality and a bias toward some tabloids must be overhauled by London police.

Police officers should be wary of journalists who offer alcoholic drinks, make flirty advances or tempt potential sources into “late-night carousing,” Filkin warned.

“Alcohol is fraught issue … drinking loosens tongues, so common sense is needed,” her guidelines state, warning that “some journalists do not practice abstinence.”

Witnesses from both sides had told her inquiry the issue lay behind the failure of early police investigations to uncover the true extent of media malpractice.

An initial police investigation led to the jailing of a reporter from the now-defunct News of The World tabloid and a private investigator in 2007, but failed to unearth the widespread interception of cell phone voice mail messages of celebrities, sporting stars, legislators and even crime victims.

Since then, London police have identified 5,795 potential phone hacking victims and launched three new inquiries into alleged criminality by the press.

Filkin’s inquiry said relationships between the police, particularly senior officers, and the press had “compromised the capacity of both the police and the media to scrutinize the activities of the other.”

However Filkin, who was appointed by London’s Metropolitan Police to review their relationship with the press, said it would be down to a new police inquiry, not her, to say how badly that had hampered inquiries into phone hacking.

“I don’t know whether it inhibited that inquiry,” Filkin said paydayloans. “What I heard from a large number of people, both journalists and people who work at the Met, was that they feared it had.”

“That was the greatest concern for me from what I heard,” she said, presenting her proposed new guidelines to officers on how to handle the press.

Since the extent of tabloid phone hacking was exposed last summer, more than a dozen News of the World journalists, including former editor Andy Coulson, have been arrested.

The scandal also forced the resignations of London’s top police officer, the Metropolitan Police commissioner Paul Stephenson, and assistant commissioner John Yates.

Stephenson quit in July over his links to Neil Wallis, a former News of the World executive turned PR consultant. Yates resigned amid criticism of his handling of initial investigation.

“There will be no more secret conversations, there will be no more improper contacts,” said Stephenson’s successor as London’s top police officer, Bernard Hogan-Howe.

Hogan-Howe pledged to take up Filkin’s recommendations in full, including a proposal that officers should in the future record every contact they have with reporters for potential inspection.

Filkin did not discuss in detail allegations that Britain’s press paid London police for information, but said claims from senior officers that only a few people were involved conflicted with accounts she had received from journalists.

Eight people, including a serving police officer and a reporter working for The Sun tabloid, have been arrested as part of an inquiry into the alleged bribes, though no one has been charged.

Source

December 12, 2011

Lowe’s stands by decision to pull ads

Filed under: news, technology — Tags: , , , — Professor Besto @ 7:08 pm

Lowe’s is planning to stick by its decision to yank its ads from a reality TV show about American Muslims despite the growing opposition the home improvement chain is facing over the move.

California Sen. Ted Lieu put a statement out on Sunday that he is considering calling for a boycott of Lowe’s Cos., sparking criticism of the chain from both inside and outside of the Muslim community.

On social media web site Twitter, actor Kal Penn is began directing people to a petition on signon.org in support of the TLC cable network show, “All-American Muslim.” By Monday afternoon, there were about 9,200 signatures.

On Monday, U.S. Representative Keith Ellison of Minnesota, who is Muslim, released a statement condemning Lowe’s for choosing “to uphold the beliefs of a fringe hate group and not the creed of The First Amendment.”

And Democratic state Rep. Rashida Tlaib of Detroit, the first Muslim elected to the Michigan Legislature, voiced her concerns directly with the company. She wrote a letter to Lowe’s CEO Robert Niblock.

“I told them I was extremely disappointed that you give credibility to these hate groups,” Tlaib said. “People of Muslim faith are being attacked. It’s disappointing, disheartening.”

Meanwhile, Lowe’s, based in Mooresville, N.C., said it stands by its Sunday statement that it pulled the ads after the show became a “lightning rod for people to voice complaints from a variety of perspectives - political, social and otherwise.” The company also said that “dozens” of other advertisers pulled their advertising from the show.

“All-American Muslim” premiered last month and chronicles the lives of five families who live in and near Dearborn, Mich., a Detroit suburb with a large Muslim and Arab-American population. TLC spokeswoman Laurie Goldberg said “All-American Muslim,” which airs on Mondays on TLC and ends its first season on Jan. 8, has garnered a little over a million viewers per week.

“We stand behind the show All American Muslim and we’re happy the show has strong advertising support,” she said.

Lowe’s stopped running commercials during “All-American Muslim” after a conservative group known as the Florida Family Association e-mailed companies to ask them to stop advertising on the show. The group said the program is “propaganda that riskily hides the Islamic agenda’s clear and present danger to American liberties and traditional values.”

Florida Family Association, based in Tampa, Fla., said that more than 60 advertisers that it e-mailed, from Amazon to McDonalds, have also stopped advertising on the show. But so far, Lowe’s is the only major company to confirm that it pulled ads from the show.

Amazon and McDonald’s and other advertisers did not immediately return calls seeking comment.

Meanwhile, Atlanta-based Home Depot, which was cited by Florida Family Association as a company that stopped advertising, said Monday it never intended to run any ads during the show. But spokesman Stephen Holmes said one commercial ran “inadvertently and without our knowledge.”

The controversy highlights the fine line companies must walk when they select shows to advertise on.

Branding expert Laura Ries said Lowe’s made two mistakes. The first was advertising during a show that could be construed as controversial. The second was pulling advertising too quickly.

“For a big national brand like Lowe’s, they’ve always got to be incredibly careful when advertising during any show that could be deemed controversial,” she said. “Will it seriously damage the brand in the long term? Probably not. But it is a serious punch in the stomach.”

Overall, analysts said the furor is unlikely to damage Lowe’s brand in the long term.

“For a company that generates $50 billion in annual revenue, I don’t view this as something that will have a meaningful impact,” said Morningstar analyst Peter Wahlstrom. “I’m hopeful this blows over and I’m certain management is as well.”

Still, some worry Lowe’s ad flap could do damage to Muslims living in the Metro Detroit area.

Florida pastor Terry Jones held an anti-Islam rally earlier this year outside Dearborn City Hall after being barred from protesting outside a Muslim mosque in the city. A burning of the Quran in March at Jones’ church in Florida led to a series of violent protests in Afghanistan that killed more than a dozen people.

“Metro Detroit and Dearborn have been the focal point of a number of anti-Muslim movements,” said Dawud Walid, executive director of Council on American-Islamic Relations’ Michigan chapter. “There are organized forces in our society that want to marginalize American Muslims to the point where they don’t want to see any portrayals of Muslims that regular Americans can connect to.”

Corey Williams in Detroit, Rachel Zoll in New York and Mitch Stacy in Tampa, Fla., contributed to this report.

Source

December 7, 2011

Greek parliament approves 2012 austerity budget

Filed under: marketing, technology — Tags: , , , — Professor Besto @ 8:40 pm

Greek lawmakers have approved next year’s austerity budget, extending tough spending cuts that have sparked a series of often violent protests.

The 2012 budget passed early Wednesday foresees a fourth year of recession, but also projects a modest primary surplus _ a surplus excluding interest payments on debt _ for the first time in years.

Debt-crippled Greece’s financial woes have roiled the euro, with Europe’s single currency facing its largest crisis since it went into circulation in 2002.

The country has been relying for financial survival on billions of euros (dollars) in rescue loans from other eurozone countries and the International Monetary Fund since May 2010. In return, Greece cut pensions and salaries while repeatedly hiking taxes to reduce its bloated budget deficits.

THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. Check back soon for further information. AP’s earlier story is below.

ATHENS, Greece (AP) _ Greece’s lawmakers were set Tuesday to pass next year’s austerity budget, extending tough spending cuts measures that have already left Greeks struggling as the country tries to slash its debts and pull itself out of a severe recession.

With three parties, including the country’s majority socialists and their rival conservatives, involved in Greece’s new coalition government, the budget is expected to pass with an overwhelming majority in a midnight vote.

The end of the budget debate coincided with the third anniversary of a fatal police shooting of a teenager in central Athens, and as lawmakers spoke clashes broke out in front of Parliament between hundreds of anarchists and riot police during a commemorative march.

Masked youths hurled stones, bottles and firebombs at police, who responded with volleys of tear gas and stun grenades on Tuesday night. Earlier in the day, violence also broke out on the fringes of a separate march by about 2,000 students who clashed with riot police outside Parliament.

Speaking inside the building during the debate, conservative party leader Antonis Samaras said his objections to many of the austerity measures already passed remained, but that he was backing the budget as the priority now was to reduce the debt.

“We are voting today for the budget, firstly because we we are giving immediate priority to to ensuring the viability of Greek debt and to maintain the the targets of fiscal adjustment,” he said.

Samaras was a vocal critic of the austerity measures over the past two years, insisting that increased taxation in particular was the wrong method and that taxes should be cut in order to stimulate the economy.

The conservative leader said the crisis had also shown up problems within the eurozone.

“It has been proved that repeated efforts until now to stabilize the euro have failed,” he said. “And that the euro crisis is not only due to Greece’s bad fiscal situation, but also to the eurozone’s inability to deal with its problems.”

The 2012 budget foresees a fourth year of recession, although it also projects a primary surplus _ a surplus excluding interest payments on debt _ of 1.1 percent of gross domestic product.

Greece’s debt troubles have roiled the euro, with Europe’s single currency facing its largest crisis since it went into circulation in 2002. The Standard & Poor’s ratings agency placed 15 of the 17 eurozone countries on notice for possible downgrades. The only two it left out were Cyprus, whose bonds have near-junk status, and Greece, whose low ratings suggest it is likely to default on its debts soon anyway.

On Monday, German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy urged changes to the EU treaty that would centralize decision-making on spending and borrowing for the eurozone. Tighter political and economic coordination among euro countries is seen as a precursor to further financial aid from the European Central Bank, the International Monetary Fund, or some combination.

Greece has been relying for financial survival on billions of euros (dollars) in rescue loans from other eurozone countries and the International Monetary Fund since May 2010. In return for the first bailout, the country imposed a series of harsh austerity measures, including salary and pension cuts and repeated rounds of tax hikes that have left the country mired in a deep recession.

Despite the measures, the government found itself persistently missing the fiscal targets set out in its first bailout. A second rescue package worth euro130 billion ($175 billion) was put together in October, and includes plans for private creditors to write off 50 percent of their Greek bonds, potentially cutting the country’s debt by euro100 billion. Negotiations on the details of the deal are expected to extend into the new year.

A sudden announcement last month by then prime minister George Papandreou that he would put the hard-fought deal to a referendum triggered a political crisis that forced him to step down and a coalition government be formed. A former central banker, Lucas Papademos, has been appointed to lead the interim government until early elections, tentatively set for February.

The crisis has taken its toll on the popularity of Greece’s main political parties, though Papandreou’s Socialists have taken the severest hit. Just two years after a landslide election victory with 44 percent of the vote, they are polled at enjoying just 15.3 percent support and trail the conservatives who have 21.5 percent, according to a GPO survey for Mega television.

The poll of 1,400 adults was conducted between Nov. 30 and Dec. 5. No margin of error was given.

According to the poll, the vast majority of Greeks _ 80.7 percent _ believe the country’s financial situation will deteriorate further in 2012, while 79.3 percent believe Greece’s rescue deal with the EU and IMF failed to resolve the debt crisis.

____

Derek Gatopoulos and Demetris Nellas in Athens contributed.

Source

November 19, 2011

Egyptian police, protesters clash

Filed under: marketing, technology — Tags: , , , — Professor Besto @ 9:00 pm

Egyptian riot police firing tear gas and rubber bullets stormed into Cairo’s Tahrir Square Saturday to dismantle a protest tent camp, setting off clashes that killed one protester, injured hundreds and raised tension days before the first elections since Hosni Mubarak’s ouster.

The scenes of protesters fighting with black-clad police forces were reminiscent of the 18-day uprising that forced an end to Mubarak’s rule in February. Hundreds of protesters fought back, hurling stones and setting an armored police vehicle ablaze.

The violence raised fears of new unrest surrounding the parliamentary elections that are due to begin on Nov. 28. Public anger has risen over the slow pace of reforms and apparent attempts by Egypt’s ruling generals to retain power over a future civilian government payday advance lenders.

Witnesses said the clashes began when police dismantled a tent camp commemorating the hundreds of protesters killed in the uprising and attacked about 200 demonstrators who had camped in the square overnight in an attempt to restart a long-term sit-in there.

Police fired rubber bullets, tear gas and beat protesters with batons. A 23-year-old protester died from a gunshot, said Health Ministry official Mohammed el-Sherbeni. At least 676 people were injured, he said.

 

Source

November 14, 2011

IMF warns China’s banks face growing risks

Filed under: management, technology — Tags: , , , — Professor Besto @ 10:40 pm

The International Monetary Fund says China’s banks face growing risks due to a credit boom and it urged Beijing to reduce the government role in lending decisions.

The report Tuesday adds to warnings by industry analysts that China’s banks face a possible rise in bad loans and other problems after a flood of lending helped it rebound quickly from the 2008 global crisis.

The IMF cited possible risks from a fall in soaring real estate prices, a rise in bad loans due to crisis-related lending and growing imbalances in an economy that relies heavily on exports and investment direct payday lenders.

The IMF urged Beijing to move further toward using interest rates instead of direct orders to regulate lending.

Source

November 8, 2011

Berlusconi on ropes after vote humiliation

Filed under: marketing, technology — Tags: , , , — Professor Besto @ 3:48 pm

ROME

November 5, 2011

Greek PM launches coalition effort

Filed under: management, technology — Tags: , , , — Professor Besto @ 8:28 am

ATHENS—Greece’s prime minister launched efforts to form a coalition government to run the country for the next four months, arguing Saturday the move is vital to securing a mammoth new debt deal and demonstrating commitment to remaining in the eurozone.

George Papandreou won an early morning confidence vote in the Socialist-led parliament on a pledge that he was willing to step aside and form a cross-party caretaker government. But it remains unclear whether the main opposition conservatives and other parties will take part in the talks and drop a demand for an immediate general election.

Hours after winning the vote, Papandreou met with President Karolos Papoulias.

“Cooperation is necessary to guarantee — for Greece and for our partners — that we can honor our commitments,” Papandreou said at the start of Saturday’s hourlong meeting.

“I am concerned that a lack of cooperation could trouble how our partners see our will and desire to remain in the central core of the European Union and the euro,” he said.

Papandreou, midway through his four-year term, was forced into the move by his austerity-weary Socialist party after he abandoned a disastrous proposal to hold a referendum on a new European debt deal. The idea was quickly scrapped this week after throwing world markets into renewed turmoil and drawing an angry reaction from European leaders.

Frustrated with Greece’s protracted political disagreements, the country’s creditors have threatened to withhold the next critical 8 billion euros ($11 billion U.S.) loan installment until the new debt deal is formally approved in Greece.

Greece is surviving on a 110 billion euros ($150 billion U.S.) rescue-loan program from eurozone partners and the International Monetary Fund no fax cash advances. It is currently finalizing a second mammoth deal: to receive an additional 130 billion euros ($179 billion U.S.) in loans and bank support, with banks agreeing to cancel 50 percent of their Greek debt.

“My immediate aim is to do everything I can to create a broad cooperation government … I am not tied to my post,” Papandreou said.

“Cooperation is required for the country. We must not go to elections at this moment because it would have catastrophic consequences for the Greek economy and the livelihoods of Greek citizens,” he said. “The (new debt) agreement is very significant and will relieve much of the burden on the Greek citizen.”

Socialist party officials insisted any new government would need until late February to secure the second deal, warning that a snap poll could scuttle it. They insisted Saturday that Papandreou’s offer to step aside was sincere, and called on Antonis Samaras, leader of the conservative New Democracy party, to urgently reconsider his party’s position.

“If Mr. Samaras were willing to back a new government, the prime minister would resign today,” Yiannis Magriotis, a deputy public works minister, told private Skai television.

Prominent political analyst Ilias Nicolacopoulos argued it would be difficult for Samaras to avoid the coalition talks altogether — even if he remains reluctant to share power with Papandreou.

“There will be a tough game of poker — all of last week was a poker game — to determine what type of government can be formed,” he told AP television.

Source

October 31, 2011

Strong GDP gains put to rest fears of recession

Filed under: economics, technology — Tags: , , , — Professor Besto @ 2:36 pm

OTTAWA—A surging energy sector gave a healthy 0.3 per cent boost to the economy in August, suggesting Canada rebounded much more strongly than believed during the summer, following a surprising dip in the spring.

Statistics Canada also upgraded July’s gross domestic product a tick to 0.4 per cent on Monday, which places the economy on track to post a strong three per cent gain in the third quarter.

Following a 0.4 per cent contraction in the second quarter, and expectations of softness due to the market turmoil that took hold in early late July, some analysts had speculated it was possible for Canada to have suffered a technical recession of two negative quarters over the summer.

But that is no longer in the realm of possibility, given the bigger than expected numbers in the first two months.

“Even assuming a soft September, the quarter could come in at 2.9 per cent,” said Avery Shenfeld, chief economist with CIBC World Markets.

“We still see growth slipping back below two per cent in the fourth quarter, but odds are increasing that the second half should end up well above the Bank of Canada’s recent projection barring some new, unforeseen shock,” he added.

Scotiabank’s Derek Holt said the stronger two months means that September would need to have seen a disastrous 0.5 per cent retrenchment — and there were no signs that happened given the 61,000 pick up in jobs during the month — for third-quarter growth to have come in as weak as the Bank of Canada’s call of two per cent.

“Indeed, the recession chatter of a few weeks ago looks pretty ridiculous in light of almost four per cent GDP growth in the latest three months.

The consensus of economists had expected a 0.2 per cent increase in August, and did not foresee July’s revision.

However, August’s expansion was not as strong in other areas — the agency noted the country’s gross domestic product would have remained unchanged but for the 2.8 per cent jump in the energy sector.

Overall, industries tied to Canada’s domestic economy did well, while those related to exports did not.

The financial sector, as well as real estate and insurance, retail and construction all posted gains.

On the flipside, manufacturing fell 0.4 per cent, wholesale trade 1.4 per cent, and transport and warehousing was also down slightly on weak foreign demand and strong dollar.

The public sector (public administration, education and health care) overall was unchanged, as was mining.

Economists were uniform in saying the stronger than expected state of the economy is unlikely to materially impact the Bank of Canada’s position on interest rates.

Analysts still expect the central bank to keep its target overnight rate at one per cent until at least the middle of next year, and some say until well into 2013.

Source

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