Actual finance blog

Prime Minister Mario Monti is prescribing more

Italy’s borrowing costs fell for a second day Thursday but the country’s new premier said his government has more to do before it convinces financial markets it can manage the heavy debts that have made it the focus of the eurozone crisis.

Mario Monti said he was encouraged by bond auctions at which interest costs demanded by bond investors eased. He said his government of technocrats, in office for just a month and a half following the resignation of Silvio Berlusconi, was preparing a package of measures to get the Italian economy moving again, including efforts to boost competition and liberalize the labor market.

“We absolutely don’t consider the market turbulence to be over,” he said at a news conference after the Italian treasury tapped investors for around euro7 billion ($9.2 billion).

The most keenly awaited result from Thursday’s batch of auctions was the euro2.5 billion ($3.3 billion) sale of ten-year bonds at an average yield of 6.98 percent.

That’s lower than the record 7.56 percent it had to pay at an equivalent auction last month, when investor concerns over the ability of the country to service its massive debts became particularly acute.

However, the country’s borrowing rate on the key 10-year bond remains uncomfortably close to the 7 percent level widely considered to be unsustainable in the long run. Greece, Ireland and Portugal all had to request financial bailouts after their 10-year bond yields pushed above 7 percent. In the secondary markets, Italy’s yield continues to hover around the 7 percent mark.

The 17 countries that use the euro are struggling with a crisis over heavy levels of government debt in several countries. Fears of default on those debts mean that bond investors demand ever higher interest. If a country can no longer borrow affordably to pay off bonds that are maturing, it winds up needing a bailout or defaulting.

Markets had grown fearful over the past few months over Italy’s massive debt burden of euro1.9 trillion ($2.5 trillion). Next year alone, the eurozone’s third largest economy has some euro330 billion ($431 bill.

That means Italy has far to go before it convinces markets it will avoid a disastrous default that could cause another banking crisis and sink the European and global economies.

Italy also sold euro2.54 billion ($3.3 billion) of 3 year bonds at an average interest rate of 5.62 percent, far lower than the 7.89 percent rate it had to pay last month. It also raised euro803 million ($1.05 billion) in the 7-year auction at a rate of 7.42 percent and euro1.18 billion ($1.54 billion) in nine-year bonds at a yield of 6.7 percent.

Thursday’s results come a day after Italy raised euro10.7 billion ($14 billion) in a pair of auctions, again at sharply lower rates than those it was forced to pay just a month ago.

The sharp decline in Italy’s borrowing costs over the past couple of days suggests that commercial banks from the 17 countries that use the euro may have diverted some money they tapped from emergency loans from the European Central Bank last week to buy the bonds of heavily indebted governments.

It may also suggest rising investor confidence in Italy’s recent efforts to reduce its long-term debt through tax increases, pension changes and spending cuts.

Monti’s technocratic government got parliamentary approval last week for more spending cuts and tax increases intended to save the country from financial disaster. One of the most controversial aspects of the austerity package is reform of Italy’s bloated pension system.

Economists say the long term problem is the country’s weak growth, since stronger growth both increases tax revenues and shrinks the size of debt relative to the economy. European Central Bank head Mario Draghi has said Italy must undertake deeper economic reforms to improve its economic performance.

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Canadian Gold and iron producer Eldorado Gold Corp. said Sunday it will buy European Goldfields Ltd. in a deal worth about $2.4 billion, increasing its ability to produce gold.

The Vancouver, British Columbia, company said its offer values each European Goldfields share at 13.08 Canadian dollars ($12.59), based on Eldorado’s closing stock price on the Toronto Stock Exchange Friday.

That comes to 2.5 billion Canadian dollars. It’s a 10 percent premium to European Goldfields’ closing price on the Toronto Stock Exchange Friday.

Eldorado said the deal will create a company with a market capitalization of about 11 billion Canadian dollars ($10.59 billion) and help diversify production. It expects to increase annual production to reach more than 1.5 million ounces of gold by 2015. In October, the company said it expected to produce 650,000 ounces of gold this year.

Eldorado operates in China, Turkey, Brazil and Greece. It has six active mines and other projects in development.

European Goldfields, which is based in Whitehorse, Yukon, operates a mine in Greece and is developing projects in both Greece and Romania pay day loans. It said it has gold reserves of 10 million ounces within the European Union. It is also a partner of Aktor SA, the largest construction company in Greece.

“Integration of European Goldfields’ business with our own will provide Eldorado with the dominant gold mining business in the Aegean Region,” said Eldorado CEO Paul Wright in a statement Sunday. He added that European Goldfields’ partnership with Aktor will help the combined company safely develop operations in Greece.

Under the deal proposed Sunday, European Goldfields stockholders will receive 0.85 Eldorado share and a fraction of a Canadian cent for each European Goldfields share.

The acquisition requires approval from a majority of Eldorado shareholders and two-thirds of European Goldfields shareholders. Shareholders from both companies will meet in February to vote on the deal.

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Asian stock markets fell Tuesday after Standard and Poor’s warned 15 countries using the euro currency that their credit ratings are at risk of a downgrade.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped 0.8 percent to 8,628.73. South Korea’s Kospi dipped 0.7 percent to 1,908.75 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 1 percent to 18,988.82. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 shed 0.6 percent to 4,293.90. Benchmarks in Singapore, Taiwan and New Zealand also gave up ground.

The S&P announcement came only hours after French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel on Monday unveiled sweeping plans to change the European Union treaty in an effort to keep tighter checks on overspending nations.

The S&P warning left out only two of 17 countries that use the euro: Cyprus, whose bonds have near-junk status, and Greece, which already has ratings low enough to suggest that it’s likely to default soon anyway. The inclusion on the list of Germany, Europe’s strongest economy, was the biggest surprise.

The Franco-German plan, which would tie the 17 euro nations closer together, would likely also result in heavier financial burdens for Germany and other stronger economies that have already put up billions of euros to rescue Greece, Ireland and Portugal no fax payday loans.

Sarkozy and Merkel discussed several broad changes for the EU treaty, including the introduction of a penalty for any government that allows its deficit to exceed 3 percent of gross domestic product. The penalty would be automatic _ unless a majority of nations opposed it, a loophole that drew sharp criticism from analysts.

Andrew Sullivan, principal sales trader at Piper Jaffray in Hong Kong, said the sanctions were “subject to political control” and in reality represent no change from mechanisms already in existence.

The French-German proposal will be taken up at a summit of EU leaders on Thursday and Friday aimed at fixing a debt crisis so severe that it threatens the viability of the euro currency.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average rose 0.7 percent to 12,097.83. The S&P 500 rose 1 percent to 1,257.1. The Nasdaq added 1.1 percent to 2,655.76.

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A new report says a record number of shoppers made purchases online on the Monday after the Thanksgiving holiday weekend, pushing sales up 33 percent.

The report from IBM Benchmark says the average order rose 2.6 percent to $193.24 on the day known as “Cyber Monday,” when retailers amp up online promotions. The data says about 80 percent of retailers offered online deals.

It says traffic peaked at 2:05 p.m. Eastern.

About 6.6 percent used a mobile device to shop, up from 2.3 percent in 2010. The Cyber Monday numbers point to Americans’ growing comfort with using their personal computers, tablets and smartphones to shop.

A clearer picture of how holiday sales are shaping up will come on Thursday, when major retailers report November sales.

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With winter fast approaching, the bailiffs of Budapest are in a race against the clock.

They have only days before temperatures plummet and evictions are frozen by law. Demand for their services is soaring, and in the last seven weeks at least three people in the capital have committed suicide over the prospect of losing their homes.

Ani Beres, a 58-year-old woman whose family farming business went bankrupt, sat on her bed and spoke of hurling herself out of the window as the debt men knocked on the door of her 9th floor apartment this week. Her last line of defense was a throng of angry family members and activists trying to get in their way.

Hungary’s eviction crisis has its roots in 2005, when hundreds of thousands of Hungarian families began taking out mortgages and other loans in foreign currencies _ overwhelmingly in Swiss francs _ to take advantage of lower interest rates and a strong Hungarian forint.

But the Hungarian currency has plummeted over the past two years as the economy, highly dependent on exports, spiraled downward in the global economic crisis.

Today, the currency is falling further as the economy teeters on the verge of recession. Hungary’s credit rating is threatened with downgrade to junk status. Investors are spooked by the government’s unorthodox economic policies. And exports to Western Europe are being buffeted by the eurozone’s own debt crisis.

In a sign of the depth of the currency shock, authorities said Thursday that state security services will investigate possible speculative attacks on the forint after it plunged to an all-time low against the euro this month.

While a Swiss franc was worth 150 forints in 2008, it has now risen to around 250 forints and the Beres family’s 8-million-forint loan ($34,500, euro25,700) has ballooned to at least 12 million forints ($69,000, euro51,400).

The family depends on welfare payments of 48,000 forints ($208, euro155), not enough to live on, much less to repay their loan.

“We get food from the neighbors to survive,” Beres said. “You can ask them!”

A bailiff backed by several police officers had come to evict her family, whose home was bought at auction by real estate investors after she was unable to repay a foreign-currency bank loan.

“We took out the loan to invest in our vegetable-growing business … but we went bankrupt and had to sell everything,” Beres said, as her husband, Laszlo, screamed at the bailiff in the stairwell and had to be restrained from attacking him.

“I’m hopeful we can sort things out. But I’ll do it, I’ll jump out right here in front of everyone!” she said. “How many people need to die in this country until a solution is found?”

Hungary was a favored destination for international investors during the years after the first post-communist elections in 1990. But in the 2008 global recession, it became the first EU country to receive a bailout from the International Monetary Fund to avoid defaulting on its loans.

Last year, Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s government decided to forgo IMF support so it could apply its unconventional economic policies, including allowing people to pay back foreign currency loans at exchange rates much lower than current market rates, with banks forced to absorb the difference.

Last week, however, the government announced it would seek a “safety net” from the IMF and the EU but denied that the financial assistance would take the shape of a new loan, thereby giving the IMF undeniable say in Hungary’s economic policy.

Despite Orban’s intention of keeping a “free hand” in economic matters, analysts are skeptical lenders will be so considerate.

“The government would like to preserve its total independence … but it’s unlikely that the IMF would provide money without having some say,” said Zoltan Arokszallasi, a macroeconomic analyst at Erste Bank in Budapest.

A government ban on evictions in place during the first half of the year will return Dec. 1 because of the freezing weather, so the number of forced expulsions has risen greatly during the past weeks as lenders or the new owners attempt to take possession of their properties.

There have been at least three suicides during recent evictions in Budapest.

On Oct. 6, Eva Stiaszni, a 49-year-old subway conductor slammed the door when authorities came to throw her out, sent a farewell text message on her cell phone to her 21-year-old daughter and jumped to her death from her apartment window on the 9th floor of a low-cost housing estate.

“My daughter never asked for my help or anyone else’s,” said her 77-year-old mother, Ica Stiaszni. “How did she end up in a such a state that she was driven to her death?”

At the Beres home _ after much shouting, pleading and threats _ the bailiff agreed to the family’s request for a three-month stay of eviction.

But their problems are far from over.

“We’ve been looking for an emergency home for months and have not found anything,” Beres said. “We have no place to go.”

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Asian stocks fell Wednesday after the U.S. government revised its economic growth estimate downward and climbing yields on Spanish bonds magnified worries over Europe’s debt load.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index fell 1.7 percent to 17,941.62. South Korea’s Kospi lost 1.7 percent to 1,795.81 and Australia’s S&P ASX 200 index lost 1.2 percent to 4,082.40.

Japanese stock markets were closed for a public holiday.

Stocks on Wall Street slipped Tuesday after a government report showed the U.S. economy grew at a 2 percent annual rate from July through September, down from an initial estimate of 2.5 percent. Economists had expected the figure to remain the same.

The Dow Jones industrial average lost 0.5 percent to close at 11,493.72. The Standard & Poor’s 500 fell 0.4 percent to 1,188.04. The Nasdaq composite fell 0.1 percent to 2,521.28.

Higher borrowing costs for Spain, meanwhile, renewed worries about Europe’s debt crisis. The higher rates suggest that investors are still skeptical that the country will get its budget under control despite a new government coming to power this week.

Investors have been worried that Spain could become the next country to need financial support from its European neighbors if its borrowing rates climb to unsustainable levels.

Greece was forced to seek relief from its lenders after its long-term borrowing rates rose above 7 percent on the bond market. The rate on Spain’s own benchmark 10-year bond is dangerously close to that level, 6.58 percent.

But fears of the debt crisis spreading elsewhere in Europe were allayed somewhat after the International Monetary Fund announced a plan to provide quick cash on flexible terms to countries facing sudden financial stress.

Concerns remain that Europe’s debt crisis is pushing the region toward recession, which would slow industrial activity in Europe and in countries around the world that export to Europe.

Benchmark oil for January delivery fell 65 cents to $97.36 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract rose $1.09 to finish at $98.01 per barrel on the Nymex on Tuesday.

In currency trading, the euro fell to $1.3466 from $1.3509 late Tuesday in New York. The dollar rose slightly to 76.99 yen from 76.97 yen.

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A push to build a Pacific free trade bloc gained ground Friday with Japan’s decision to join negotiations, as Asia-Pacific leaders converging on Hawaii for an annual summit mulled ways to prevent Europe’s crisis from derailing the global recovery.

The weekend meeting of the 21-member Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum, which brings together leaders from Russia to Chile, is focused on creating jobs and business through nuts-and-bolts measures such as investment in infrastructure and reforms aimed at providing more access to financing for the poor.

Such moves are gaining urgency, with the European Union warning of a possible “deep and prolonged recession” next year as the debt crisis that has engulfed Ireland, Portugal and Greece shows signs of spiraling out of control. A European recession would be felt sharply in the U.S., where growth is already anemic, and in Asia, which relies on Europe as a big market for its cars, clothing, consumer electronics and other exports.

“In the coming 12 months there is quite a strong likelihood that things will go worse,” Hong Kong’s chief executive, Donald Tsang, told a gathering of business leaders on the sidelines of the APEC meetings. “Global performance will be dragged down and then there will be an awakening, I hope,” he said.

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said in opening a meeting of foreign and economic ministers that many forces outside the Pacific region will have an impact on it. “Global trends and world events have given us a full and formidable agenda,” she said. “And the stakes are high for all of us.”

As host of the annual summit, the U.S. has made expanding trade, promoting green growth and deepening cooperation on regulation and standards to help dismantle barriers to trade and nurture faster growth.

“We’ve even created an unofficial slogan: ‘Get Stuff Done,” Clinton said.

The U.S. also is hoping to garner support for a Pacific free trade pact that many APEC members see as a building block for a free trade area that encompasses all of Asia and the Pacific, covering half the world’s commerce and two-fifths of its trade.

That goal advanced Friday with Japan’s announcement that it will seek to join the bloc, called the Trans-Pacific Partnership, despite strong opposition from farmers fearful of exposure to greater foreign competition.

The Pacific trade pact, known as the TPP, currently includes Chile, New Zealand, Brunei and Singapore _ all relatively small economies. The U.S., Australia, Malaysia, Vietnam and Peru are negotiating to join. The participation of Japan, the world’s third-largest economy, would vastly expand its reach.

At the same time they are working toward a broader agreement, countries continue to forge separate free-trade agreements. On Friday, Vietnam and Chile were to due to sign a free trade agreement on the sidelines of the APEC meetings.

The U.S. recently clinched long-sought free trade pacts with South Korea, Colombia, and Panama _ agreements that if ratified will bring to 20 the number of countries that have free trade agreements with the U.S.

In Honolulu, Washington was keeping up pressure on China to commit to faster trade liberalization and to freeing its currency, which U.S. officials say remains undervalued even though it has gained substantially against the U.S. dollar in recent years.

A statement by APEC finance ministers released Thursday included a call for exchange rate flexibility. Treasury Department officials said China’s willingness to back such a commitment _ both at the Group of 20 meeting in Cannes last week and in Honolulu this week _ could encourage similar moves by other Asia-Pacific economies.

But Beijing’s apparent openness to move faster on its currency policy was not matched by similar support for the Trans-Pacific Partnership, which earlier this week a senior official in Beijing described as “overly ambitious.”

Overall, given APEC’s lack of negotiating power _ all decisions are by consensus _ prospects for major changes are slim. But over the years the group’s incremental efforts have helped build support for closer economic ties and freer trade.

Clinton said that by agreeing on something as rudimentary as shared safety standards for televisions, countries in the region saw exports of TVs jump by nearly half in three years.

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Olympus Corp. said Thursday it is postponing an earnings announcement set for next week amid an accounting scandal that has wiped out about four-fifths of its stock price and tarnished Japan’s corporate image.

The Japanese camera and medical equipment maker said in a statement Thursday that it cannot submit its earnings report for the April-September period on Nov. 14 as planned due to an ongoing review by a company-appointed investigation panel.

In response, the Tokyo Stock Exchange placed Olympus stock on supervisory status, warning that it could be removed from the stock exchange if it fails to release its earnings within a month, or by Dec. 14.

Olympus has been battered by a scandal over a $687 million payment for financial advice and expensive acquisitions of companies unrelated to its mainstay businesses.

On Tuesday, the company said top executives used the payment and acquisitions to hide massive losses, reversing denials of any wrongdoing. Its British CEO Michael Woodford first raised the concerns last month, calling for Olympus executives to resign _ and was then promptly fired by the board.

Olympus said it will do its “utmost” to submit the earnings report by Dec. 14, and said it was cooperating with the “strict and thorough investigation” being conducted by the independent committee. Results of the probe are expected in early December.

“We deeply apologize for causing trouble to our shareholders, investors, customers and anyone else who are affected by the matter,” Olympus said online pay day loans.

The company’s shares have plunged to 484 yen Thursday from 2,482 yen on Oct. 13, the day before Woodford’s dismissal.

Olympus dismissed Executive Vice President Hisashi Mori on Tuesday, saying he was involved in the cover-up along with Tsuyoshi Kikukawa, who abruptly resigned as chairman last month in an attempt to placate angry shareholders.

Shuichi Takayama, who took over as president in late October, has said he can not disclose the size of the losses or any other detail because all data had been handed over to the independent panel.

The Tokyo-based company had denied wrongdoing over the $687 million payment to the Wall Street financial adviser as part of a $2 billion purchase of U.K.-based Gyrus Group Plc. The payment represented more than a third of the acquisition price. Fees for advisers are normally 1 to 2 percent of the deal value.

Business groups and analysts have said the scandal reflects weaknesses in Japan’s corporate governance including too few independent directors on company boards.

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